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Financial Risk Comparison
🇵🇱 Poland vs 🇵🇹 Portugal
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇵🇱
Poland
47.7
stable
Kairos 30.2d·CEE
🇵🇹
Portugal
59.0
accumulation
Kairos 29.8d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 47.7 vs Portugal at 59.0 — a 11.3-point spread. Portugal's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Portugal has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇵🇱 Poland
🇵🇹 Portugal
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
48
58
Banking Stress← safer
45
52
Currency Risksafer →
52
32
Political Risktied
48
48
Contagion Risk← safer
55
58
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
🇵🇹 Portugal
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
58/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
32/100
Frequently Asked
Is Poland safer than Portugal for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 47.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Poland has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Portugal is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Poland and Portugal?
The 11.3-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Portugal's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 58/100.
Full Poland–Portugal analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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