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Financial Risk Comparison
🇷🇴 Romania vs 🇵🇱 Poland
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇷🇴
Romania
56.2
accumulation
Kairos 30.4d·CEE
🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs Romania at 56.2 — a 10.7-point spread. Romania's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Poland has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇷🇴 Romania
🇵🇱 Poland
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
78
48
Banking Stresssafer →
60
45
Currency Risksafer →
55
52
Political Risksafer →
65
48
Contagion Risktied
55
55
🇷🇴 Romania
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
55/100
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is Romania safer than Poland for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: Romania has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Poland is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Romania and Poland?
The 10.7-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Romania's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 78/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Romania–Poland analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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