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Financial Risk Comparison
🇷🇴 Romania vs 🇮🇹 Italy
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇷🇴
Romania
56.2
accumulation
Kairos 30.4d·CEE
🇮🇹
Italy
54.1
accumulation
Kairos 30.1d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
Italy presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 54.1 vs Romania at 56.2 — a 2.1-point spread. Romania's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Italy has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇷🇴 Romania
🇮🇹 Italy
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
78
82
Banking Stress← safer
60
65
Currency Risksafer →
55
38
Political Risksafer →
65
62
Contagion Risk← safer
55
72
🇷🇴 Romania
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
55/100
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
Frequently Asked
Is Romania safer than Italy for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Italy shows lower systemic risk at 54.1/100. However, risk profiles differ: Romania has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Italy is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Romania and Italy?
The 2.1-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Romania's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 78/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Romania–Italy analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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