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Financial Risk Comparison
🇷🇴 Romania vs 🇵🇹 Portugal
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇷🇴
Romania
76.2
critical
Kairos 14.5d·CEE
🇵🇹
Portugal
59.0
accumulation
Kairos 29.8d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
Portugal presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 59.0 vs Romania at 76.2 — a 17.2-point spread. Romania's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Romania has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇷🇴 Romania
🇵🇹 Portugal
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
78
58
Banking Stresssafer →
60
52
Currency Risksafer →
55
32
Political Risksafer →
65
48
Contagion Risk← safer
55
58
🇷🇴 Romania
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
55/100
🇵🇹 Portugal
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
58/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
32/100
Frequently Asked
Is Romania safer than Portugal for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Portugal shows lower systemic risk at 59.0/100. However, risk profiles differ: Romania has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Portugal is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Romania and Portugal?
The 17.2-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Romania's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 78/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Romania–Portugal analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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