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Financial Risk Comparison
🇪🇺 European Union vs 🇵🇱 Poland
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇪🇺
European Union
46.0
stable
Kairos 29.9d·EU
🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs European Union at 46.0 — a 0.5-point spread. European Union's primary risk driver is Contagion Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Poland has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇪🇺 European Union
🇵🇱 Poland
Sovereign/Fiscaltied
48
48
Banking Stresssafer →
60
45
Currency Risk← safer
35
52
Political Risk← safer
42
48
Contagion Risksafer →
70
55
🇪🇺 European Union
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
70/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
35/100
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is European Union safer than Poland for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: European Union has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Poland is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between European Union and Poland?
The 0.5-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. European Union's moderate regime is driven by Contagion Risk pressure at 70/100.
Full European Union–Poland analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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