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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇵🇱 Poland
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
67.4
accumulation
Kairos 24.2d·EU
🇵🇱
Poland
47.7
stable
Kairos 30.2d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 47.7 vs Italy at 67.4 — a 19.7-point spread. Italy's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Italy has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇵🇱 Poland
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
48
Banking Stresssafer →
65
45
Currency Risk← safer
38
52
Political Risksafer →
62
48
Contagion Risksafer →
72
55
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than Poland for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 47.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Poland is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and Poland?
The 19.7-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Italy's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 82/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–Poland analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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