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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇩🇪 Germany
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
67.4
accumulation
Kairos 24.2d·EU
🇩🇪
Germany
49.8
accumulation
Kairos 30.5d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
Germany presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 49.8 vs Italy at 67.4 — a 17.6-point spread. Italy's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Italy has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇩🇪 Germany
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
38
Banking Stresssafer →
65
45
Currency Risksafer →
38
30
Political Risksafer →
62
32
Contagion Risksafer →
72
68
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇩🇪 Germany
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
68/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than Germany for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Germany shows lower systemic risk at 49.8/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Germany is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and Germany?
The 17.6-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Italy's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 82/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–Germany analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →