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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇬🇷 Greece
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
54.1
accumulation
Kairos 30.1d·EU
🇬🇷
Greece
50.6
accumulation
Kairos 29.6d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
Greece presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 50.6 vs Italy at 54.1 — a 3.5-point spread. Italy's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Greece has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇬🇷 Greece
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
72
Banking Stresssafer →
65
62
Currency Risktied
38
38
Political Risksafer →
62
52
Contagion Risksafer →
72
60
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇬🇷 Greece
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
72/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than Greece for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Greece shows lower systemic risk at 50.6/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Greece is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and Greece?
The 3.5-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Italy's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 82/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–Greece analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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