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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇪🇺 European Union
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
67.4
accumulation
Kairos 24.2d·EU
🇪🇺
European Union
55.2
accumulation
Kairos 30.3d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
European Union presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 55.2 vs Italy at 67.4 — a 12.2-point spread. Italy's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Italy has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇪🇺 European Union
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
48
Banking Stresssafer →
65
60
Currency Risksafer →
38
35
Political Risksafer →
62
42
Contagion Risksafer →
72
70
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇪🇺 European Union
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
70/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
35/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than European Union for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, European Union shows lower systemic risk at 55.2/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while European Union is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and European Union?
The 12.2-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Italy's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 82/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–European Union analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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