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Financial Risk Comparison

🇵🇱 Poland vs 🇯🇵 Japan

SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026

🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
🇯🇵
Japan
49.2
accumulation
Kairos 30.4d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict

Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs Japan at 49.2 — a 3.7-point spread. Japan's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Poland has the more immediate risk horizon.

Risk Dimensions
🇵🇱 Poland
🇯🇵 Japan
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
48
85
Banking Stresssafer →
45
42
Currency Risksafer →
52
35
Political Risksafer →
48
28
Contagion Risk← safer
55
68
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
🇯🇵 Japan
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
85/100
Strongest Shield
Political Risk
28/100
Frequently Asked
Is Poland safer than Japan for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: Poland has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Japan is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Poland and Japan?
The 3.7-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Japan's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 85/100.

Full PolandJapan analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.

Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals

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