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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇯🇵 Japan
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
54.1
accumulation
Kairos 30.1d·EU
🇯🇵
Japan
49.2
accumulation
Kairos 30.4d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict
Japan presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 49.2 vs Italy at 54.1 — a 4.9-point spread. Italy's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Italy has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇯🇵 Japan
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
82
85
Banking Stresssafer →
65
42
Currency Risksafer →
38
35
Political Risksafer →
62
28
Contagion Risksafer →
72
68
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇯🇵 Japan
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
85/100
Strongest Shield
Political Risk
28/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than Japan for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Japan shows lower systemic risk at 49.2/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Japan is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and Japan?
The 4.9-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Italy's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 82/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–Japan analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →