SIGMA WEEKLY BRIEF
2026-08-24The week in systemic risk.
Watch Ukraine's EWS status (90.1/100, R₀=0.84): the sub-1.0 R₀ despite highest score suggests either stabilization or a lagging indicator masking collapse dynamics—confirm which before reweighting other scores. Secondary: Turkey's R₀=1.76 is the highest transmission rate in the set, meaning its risk score could overtake Ukraine's fastest if unaddressed.
58.6/100
GLOBAL AVG
EARLY WARNINGS
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Most fragile this week
- 1🇺🇦 UkraineEWSCOLLAPSE90
- 2🇹🇷 TurkeyCRITICAL81
- 3🇷🇴 RomaniaCRITICAL74
- 4🇨🇳 ChinaACCUMULATION70
- 5🇮🇹 ItalyACCUMULATION67
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