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TUESDAY, 11 AUGUST 2026

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Global systemic stress

48/ 100

CRITICAL

Pre-transition — arbitrage window closing.

Global SIGMA composite 47.7/100 — moderate stress accumulation. Equity markets (SPX) in critical regime (+2.01% 5d). EUR/USD regime: stable.

A measure of structural stress, not a price forecast. A high reading can sit alongside a rising market for months — that divergence is the measurement, not a fault in it.

Markets on 11 Aug

MARKETSIGMAREGIMEIMPLIED
S&P 50048criticalfalling
EUR/USD46stablerising
Bitcoin56accumulationflat
Gold40stablefalling
DAX 4049criticalfalling
US 10Y Yield47stablerising

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