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Financial Risk Comparison
🇵🇱 Poland vs 🇷🇸 Serbia
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
🇷🇸
Serbia
51.7
accumulation
Kairos 29.8d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs Serbia at 51.7 — a 6.2-point spread. Serbia's primary risk driver is Political Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Serbia has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇵🇱 Poland
🇷🇸 Serbia
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
48
62
Banking Stress← safer
45
55
Currency Risk← safer
52
58
Political Risk← safer
48
65
Contagion Risksafer →
55
48
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
🇷🇸 Serbia
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
65/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
48/100
Frequently Asked
Is Poland safer than Serbia for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: Poland has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Serbia is most stressed in Political Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Poland and Serbia?
The 6.2-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Serbia's elevated regime is driven by Political Risk pressure at 65/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Poland–Serbia analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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