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Financial Risk Comparison
🇷🇴 Romania vs 🇷🇸 Serbia
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇷🇴
Romania
76.2
critical
Kairos 14.5d·CEE
🇷🇸
Serbia
64.8
critical
Kairos 26.1d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Serbia presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 64.8 vs Romania at 76.2 — a 11.4-point spread. Romania's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Romania has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇷🇴 Romania
🇷🇸 Serbia
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
78
62
Banking Stresssafer →
60
55
Currency Risk← safer
55
58
Political Risktied
65
65
Contagion Risksafer →
55
48
🇷🇴 Romania
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
55/100
🇷🇸 Serbia
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
65/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
48/100
Frequently Asked
Is Romania safer than Serbia for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Serbia shows lower systemic risk at 64.8/100. However, risk profiles differ: Romania has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Serbia is most stressed in Political Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Romania and Serbia?
The 11.4-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Romania's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 78/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Romania–Serbia analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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