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Financial Risk Comparison
🇵🇱 Poland vs 🇧🇬 Bulgaria
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
🇧🇬
Bulgaria
46.6
stable
Kairos 30.0d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs Bulgaria at 46.6 — a 1.1-point spread. Bulgaria's primary risk driver is Political Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Poland has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇵🇱 Poland
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
48
52
Banking Stress← safer
45
50
Currency Risksafer →
52
30
Political Risk← safer
48
55
Contagion Risksafer →
55
48
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
Frequently Asked
Is Poland safer than Bulgaria for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: Poland has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Bulgaria is most stressed in Political Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Poland and Bulgaria?
The 1.1-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Bulgaria's moderate regime is driven by Political Risk pressure at 55/100.
Full Poland–Bulgaria analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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