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Financial Risk Comparison
🇹🇷 Turkey vs 🇯🇵 Japan
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇹🇷
Turkey
83.9
critical
Kairos 7.6d·EM
🇯🇵
Japan
59.7
accumulation
Kairos 29.9d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict
Japan presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 59.7 vs Turkey at 83.9 — a 24.2-point spread. Turkey's primary risk driver is Currency Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Turkey has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇹🇷 Turkey
🇯🇵 Japan
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
72
85
Banking Stresssafer →
68
42
Currency Risksafer →
88
35
Political Risksafer →
78
28
Contagion Risk← safer
65
68
🇹🇷 Turkey
Biggest Risk
Currency Risk
88/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
65/100
🇯🇵 Japan
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
85/100
Strongest Shield
Political Risk
28/100
Frequently Asked
Is Turkey safer than Japan for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Japan shows lower systemic risk at 59.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Turkey has strongest exposure in Currency Risk while Japan is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Turkey and Japan?
The 24.2-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Turkey's elevated regime is driven by Currency Risk pressure at 88/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Turkey–Japan analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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