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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇹🇷 Turkey
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
54.1
accumulation
Kairos 30.1d·EU
🇹🇷
Turkey
60.1
accumulation
Kairos 28.8d·EM
SIGMA Verdict
Italy presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 54.1 vs Turkey at 60.1 — a 6.0-point spread. Turkey's primary risk driver is Currency Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Turkey has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇹🇷 Turkey
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
72
Banking Stress← safer
65
68
Currency Risk← safer
38
88
Political Risk← safer
62
78
Contagion Risksafer →
72
65
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇹🇷 Turkey
Biggest Risk
Currency Risk
88/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
65/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than Turkey for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Italy shows lower systemic risk at 54.1/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Turkey is most stressed in Currency Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and Turkey?
The 6.0-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Turkey's elevated regime is driven by Currency Risk pressure at 88/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–Turkey analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →