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Financial Risk Comparison
🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇵🇱 Poland
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇪🇸
Spain
49.3
accumulation
Kairos 30.4d·EU
🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs Spain at 49.3 — a 3.8-point spread. Spain's primary risk driver is Political Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Poland has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇪🇸 Spain
🇵🇱 Poland
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
58
48
Banking Stresssafer →
55
45
Currency Risk← safer
33
52
Political Risksafer →
62
48
Contagion Risksafer →
62
55
🇪🇸 Spain
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
62/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
33/100
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is Spain safer than Poland for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: Spain has strongest exposure in Political Risk while Poland is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Spain and Poland?
The 3.8-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Spain's elevated regime is driven by Political Risk pressure at 62/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Spain–Poland analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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