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Financial Risk Comparison
🇵🇱 Poland vs 🇺🇦 Ukraine
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇵🇱
Poland
45.5
stable
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
🇺🇦
Ukraine
64.2
accumulation
Kairos 26.0d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.5 vs Ukraine at 64.2 — a 18.7-point spread. Ukraine's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Ukraine has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇵🇱 Poland
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
48
95
Banking Stress← safer
45
78
Currency Risk← safer
52
88
Political Risk← safer
48
92
Contagion Risksafer →
55
45
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
95/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is Poland safer than Ukraine for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 45.5/100. However, risk profiles differ: Poland has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Ukraine is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Poland and Ukraine?
The 18.7-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Ukraine's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 95/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Poland–Ukraine analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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