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Financial Risk Comparison
🇵🇱 Poland vs 🇺🇦 Ukraine
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇵🇱
Poland
47.7
stable
Kairos 30.2d·CEE
🇺🇦
Ukraine
92.2
collapse
Kairos 4.0d·CEE
EWS ACTIVE
SIGMA Verdict
Poland presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 47.7 vs Ukraine at 92.2 — a 44.5-point spread. Ukraine's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Ukraine has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇵🇱 Poland
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
48
95
Banking Stress← safer
45
78
Currency Risk← safer
52
88
Political Risk← safer
48
92
Contagion Risksafer →
55
45
🇵🇱 Poland
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
45/100
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
95/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is Poland safer than Ukraine for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Poland shows lower systemic risk at 47.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Poland has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Ukraine is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Poland and Ukraine?
The 44.5-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Ukraine's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 95/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Poland–Ukraine analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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