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Financial Risk Comparison
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇭🇺 Hungary
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇮🇹
Italy
54.1
accumulation
Kairos 30.1d·EU
🇭🇺
Hungary
52.7
accumulation
Kairos 29.9d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict
Hungary presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 52.7 vs Italy at 54.1 — a 1.4-point spread. Italy's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Hungary has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇭🇺 Hungary
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
68
Banking Stresssafer →
65
52
Currency Risk← safer
38
62
Political Risk← safer
62
75
Contagion Risksafer →
72
55
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇭🇺 Hungary
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
75/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
52/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than Hungary for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Hungary shows lower systemic risk at 52.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while Hungary is most stressed in Political Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and Hungary?
The 1.4-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Italy's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 82/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Italy–Hungary analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →