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Financial Risk Comparison

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇨🇳 China

SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026

🇮🇹
Italy
54.1
accumulation
Kairos 30.1d·EU
🇨🇳
China
54.8
accumulation
Kairos 30.2d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict

Italy presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 54.1 vs China at 54.8 — a 0.7-point spread. China's primary risk driver is Contagion Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Italy has the more immediate risk horizon.

Risk Dimensions
🇮🇹 Italy
🇨🇳 China
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
82
58
Banking Stress← safer
65
72
Currency Risk← safer
38
48
Political Risk← safer
62
65
Contagion Risk← safer
72
78
🇮🇹 Italy
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
82/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
38/100
🇨🇳 China
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
48/100
Frequently Asked
Is Italy safer than China for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Italy shows lower systemic risk at 54.1/100. However, risk profiles differ: Italy has strongest exposure in Sovereign/Fiscal while China is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Italy and China?
The 0.7-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. China's elevated regime is driven by Contagion Risk pressure at 78/100.

Full ItalyChina analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.

Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals

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