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Financial Risk Comparison
🇨🇳 China vs 🇵🇹 Portugal
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇨🇳
China
73.6
critical
Kairos 17.9d·APAC
🇵🇹
Portugal
59.0
accumulation
Kairos 29.8d·EU
SIGMA Verdict
Portugal presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 59.0 vs China at 73.6 — a 14.6-point spread. China's primary risk driver is Contagion Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests China has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇨🇳 China
🇵🇹 Portugal
Sovereign/Fiscaltied
58
58
Banking Stresssafer →
72
52
Currency Risksafer →
48
32
Political Risksafer →
65
48
Contagion Risksafer →
78
58
🇨🇳 China
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
48/100
🇵🇹 Portugal
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
58/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
32/100
Frequently Asked
Is China safer than Portugal for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Portugal shows lower systemic risk at 59.0/100. However, risk profiles differ: China has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Portugal is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between China and Portugal?
The 14.6-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. China's elevated regime is driven by Contagion Risk pressure at 78/100.
Related Comparisons
Full China–Portugal analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →