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Financial Risk Comparison

🇧🇬 Bulgaria vs 🇯🇵 Japan

SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026

🇧🇬
Bulgaria
46.6
stable
Kairos 30.0d·CEE
🇯🇵
Japan
49.2
accumulation
Kairos 30.4d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict

Bulgaria presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 46.6 vs Japan at 49.2 — a 2.6-point spread. Japan's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Bulgaria has the more immediate risk horizon.

Risk Dimensions
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
🇯🇵 Japan
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
52
85
Banking Stresssafer →
50
42
Currency Risk← safer
30
35
Political Risksafer →
55
28
Contagion Risk← safer
48
68
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
🇯🇵 Japan
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
85/100
Strongest Shield
Political Risk
28/100
Frequently Asked
Is Bulgaria safer than Japan for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Bulgaria shows lower systemic risk at 46.6/100. However, risk profiles differ: Bulgaria has strongest exposure in Political Risk while Japan is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Bulgaria and Japan?
The 2.6-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Japan's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 85/100.

Full BulgariaJapan analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.

Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals

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