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Financial Risk Comparison
🇹🇷 Turkey vs 🇨🇳 China
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇹🇷
Turkey
83.9
critical
Kairos 7.6d·EM
🇨🇳
China
73.6
critical
Kairos 17.9d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict
China presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 73.6 vs Turkey at 83.9 — a 10.3-point spread. Turkey's primary risk driver is Currency Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Turkey has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇹🇷 Turkey
🇨🇳 China
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
72
58
Banking Stress← safer
68
72
Currency Risksafer →
88
48
Political Risksafer →
78
65
Contagion Risk← safer
65
78
🇹🇷 Turkey
Biggest Risk
Currency Risk
88/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
65/100
🇨🇳 China
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
48/100
Frequently Asked
Is Turkey safer than China for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, China shows lower systemic risk at 73.6/100. However, risk profiles differ: Turkey has strongest exposure in Currency Risk while China is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Turkey and China?
The 10.3-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Turkey's elevated regime is driven by Currency Risk pressure at 88/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Turkey–China analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →