← Intelligence Feed
Financial Risk Comparison
🇧🇬 Bulgaria vs 🇹🇷 Turkey
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇧🇬
Bulgaria
46.6
stable
Kairos 30.0d·CEE
🇹🇷
Turkey
60.1
accumulation
Kairos 28.8d·EM
SIGMA Verdict
Bulgaria presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 46.6 vs Turkey at 60.1 — a 13.5-point spread. Turkey's primary risk driver is Currency Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests Turkey has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
🇹🇷 Turkey
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
52
72
Banking Stress← safer
50
68
Currency Risk← safer
30
88
Political Risk← safer
55
78
Contagion Risk← safer
48
65
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
🇹🇷 Turkey
Biggest Risk
Currency Risk
88/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
65/100
Frequently Asked
Is Bulgaria safer than Turkey for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Bulgaria shows lower systemic risk at 46.6/100. However, risk profiles differ: Bulgaria has strongest exposure in Political Risk while Turkey is most stressed in Currency Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Bulgaria and Turkey?
The 13.5-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Turkey's elevated regime is driven by Currency Risk pressure at 88/100.
Full Bulgaria–Turkey analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
Access Full Comparison →