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Financial Risk Comparison

🇧🇬 Bulgaria vs 🇨🇳 China

SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026

🇧🇬
Bulgaria
56.7
accumulation
Kairos 29.4d·CEE
🇨🇳
China
73.6
critical
Kairos 17.9d·APAC
SIGMA Verdict

Bulgaria presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 56.7 vs China at 73.6 — a 16.9-point spread. China's primary risk driver is Contagion Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests China has the more immediate risk horizon.

Risk Dimensions
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
🇨🇳 China
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
52
58
Banking Stress← safer
50
72
Currency Risk← safer
30
48
Political Risk← safer
55
65
Contagion Risk← safer
48
78
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
🇨🇳 China
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
78/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
48/100
Frequently Asked
Is Bulgaria safer than China for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Bulgaria shows lower systemic risk at 56.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Bulgaria has strongest exposure in Political Risk while China is most stressed in Contagion Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Bulgaria and China?
The 16.9-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. China's elevated regime is driven by Contagion Risk pressure at 78/100.

Full Bulgaria–China analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.

Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals

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