Global Systemic Risk
Mathematical systemic risk from SIGMA v5.0 · Weighted global basket · No editorial bias
11:28
Clock Time · 11:xx Format
Global Noosphere Score
Dominant regime: accumulation
Minutes to Midnight
Approaching levels last seen during Taper Tantrum 2013
WATCH · Interpretation
Multiple systemic risk clusters are developing. Early defensive positioning warranted.
Updated: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 21:36:37 GMT
SIGMA Narrative
Global SIGMA at 52/100 — systemic risk is accumulating. The clock is at 32 minutes to midnight. Multiple risk clusters are developing simultaneously. Early positioning in defensive assets is warranted.
Global Risk Basket — Weighted Contributors
Methodology
Systemic Interconnectivity Vector (SIV): network-weighted composite of 10 systemic nodes. US 20%, EU 16%, CN 14%, Banking 12%, Sovereign Debt 10%, DE 7%, Real Estate 7%, Energy 7%, JP 4%, FR 3%. Note: DE and FR are included as independent systemic nodes with direct contagion paths distinct from the EU aggregate. SIGMA v5.0 with regime stress multiplier (stable×0.70, accumulation×0.90, critical×1.15, collapse×1.40) applied before normalization to [0,98].
Band Scale