What is United States's SIGMA systemic risk score?

As of 2026-10-13, United States's SIGMA v5.0 systemic risk score is 53.9/100 — classified as moderate risk. The SIGMA Engine computes this across 8 mathematical layers: metabolic analysis, structural fragility, behavioral psychology, network contagion, NLP divergence, prediction (Hawkes/Hurst), machine learning, and technical signals. The score is deterministic — identical inputs always produce identical outputs, with no randomness or subjective weighting. Full methodology: https://noosphereprime.space/methodology

Is United States at risk of a financial crisis in 2026?

Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, United States is currently in an accumulation regime — risk is building beneath the surface but has not yet crystallized. The quantitative 30-day collapse probability is between 10% and 25%. Key risk drivers include sovereign debt dynamics, banking sector stress, and macro contagion channels. This is not financial advice — it is a quantitative signal derived from public macroeconomic data. Real-time score: https://noosphereprime.space/score/united-states

What does a Noosphere Score of 54 mean for United States?

A Noosphere Score of 53.9/100 places United States in the accumulation regime on Noosphere Prime's 4-tier scale (stable → accumulation → critical → collapse). Scores above 70 indicate critical systemic stress; 55-70 is elevated; 40-55 is accumulation; below 40 is stable. At 53.9, the moderate classification reflects contained systemic risk with no immediate crisis signals. Historical analog events at similar SIGMA levels are documented at https://noosphereprime.space/score/united-states.

How does the SIGMA Engine calculate United States's financial risk?

The SIGMA Engine v5.0 applies 8 deterministic analytical layers to United States: (1) Metabolic analysis — system entropy and energy flux; (2) Fragility Index — Taleb/Haldane structural fragility model; (3) Behavioral Psychology — Shiller CAPE, Kahneman prospect theory; (4) Network Theory — Brandes betweenness centrality, percolation threshold, R₀ contagion coefficient; (5) NLP Divergence — narrative vs. mathematical signal gap; (6) Prediction Engine — Hawkes process clustering + Hurst exponent persistence; (7) Machine Learning — anomaly detection on macro time series; (8) Technical signals — momentum, volatility, correlation breaks. Academic basis: Reinhart & Rogoff (2009), Minsky (1986), Basel III framework. Full whitepaper: https://noosphereprime.space/whitepaper

Where can I access live United States sovereign risk data?

United States's live Noosphere Score is available at https://noosphereprime.space/score/united-states (updated every 5 minutes during market hours). The free public API endpoint is: GET https://noosphereprime.space/api/public/sigma/united-states — returns Noosphere Score, regime, regime probabilities, and active risk signals in JSON. No API key required. For institutional-grade data including Phantom Consensus, Kairos temporal windows, and cascade simulation, see https://noosphereprime.space/docs for API access tiers.

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United States

country

SIGMA v5.0 Systemic Risk Score

54/100

accumulation→ Building

Phantom Consensus Score

24/ 100

ALIGNED

No arbitrage opportunity from narrative gap. Signals and communications move together....

Kairos Temporal Window

LOW

31 days remaining

Arbitrage window: 35d

Contagion Coefficient R₀

0.403

Sub-critical (contained)

Percolation: ✓ Below threshold

Regime Transition Probabilities

Stable

Accumulation

97%

Critical

Collapse

Historical Context

Closest Analog: Yen Carry Unwind / JPY Flash Crash (2024-08)

At 54/100, risk accumulation phase similar to Yen Carry Unwind / JPY Flash Crash (2024-08). Also resembles Fed Pivot Panic / Q4 2018 Selloff and Current Baseline (2026). Historical transitions from this level took 20 days to resolve.

Yen Carry Unwind / JPY Flash Crash · SIGMA-equiv 55

Markets recovered within 2 weeks. BOJ paused hikes. Carry trade partially rebuilt....

Fed Pivot Panic / Q4 2018 Selloff · SIGMA-equiv 52

Fed pivoted Jan 2019. Rate cuts resumed July 2019. Equity recovery >20% in H1 2019....

Active Risk Signals

CSD_EARLY_WARNINGHMM_STRESS_REGIMER0_CONTAGION_ACTIVEBOLLINGER_SQUEEZEHURST_PERSISTENT

Full Intelligence Analysis

Deep-dive: all 8 SIGMA layers, contagion paths, timeline

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🇺🇸 United States · SIGMA 54/100 · ACCUMULATION · noosphereprime.space/score/united-states

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