country
SIGMA v5.0 Systemic Risk Score
Phantom Consensus Score
DIVERGING
In stable regime with diverging narrative: institutional actors may be building defensive positions while maintaining pu...
Kairos Temporal Window
31 days remaining
Arbitrage window: 35d
Contagion Coefficient Rโ
Sub-critical (contained)
Percolation: โ Below threshold
Regime Transition Probabilities
Historical Context
Closest Analog: Taper Tantrum (2013-05)
At 46/100, current risk profile is consistent with Taper Tantrum (2013-05). System shows structural resilience. Monitor for regime accumulation signals.
Taper Tantrum ยท SIGMA-equiv 48
Tapering began Dec 2013. EM recovered partially. India, Turkey, Brazil hardest hit....
Flash Crash 2010 ยท SIGMA-equiv 44
Markets recovered within 20 minutes. SEC/CFTC imposed circuit breakers....
Active Risk Signals
Full Intelligence Analysis
Deep-dive: all 8 SIGMA layers, contagion paths, timeline
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