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ACCUMULATION2026-06-10
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United States

Institutional Investor Intelligence

SIGMA 55.6/100 · ACCUMULATION
SIGMA Score
55.6/100
R₀ Contagion
1.767
Hurst H
0.602
Kairos Window
31d

Institutional Investor Intelligence

For institutional investors, United States's SIGMA score of 55.6/100 (ACCUMULATION regime) generates specific positioning signals. The Kairos Window — the arbitrage period before market pricing converges to SIGMA fundamentals — quantifies the time available to act on the informational asymmetry identified by the SIGMA Engine.

The SIGMA Engine v5.0 derives this score from eight deterministic analytical layers: metabolic lifecycle entropy (β=1.279, biological age 183 months), structural fragility (Minsky phase: hedge), NLP narrative divergence (0.0%), network contagion (R₀=1.767, percolation intact), and predictive signals (CSD=34.0, Hawkes λ=0.1000).

Regime probability distribution as of 2026-06-10: stable 13.4% / accumulation 26.3% / critical 28.8% / collapse 31.5%. The Hurst exponent of 0.602 indicates strong trend persistence — risk trajectory statistically likely to deepen.

Active risk signals driving the institutional investor intelligence score:

CSD EARLY WARNINGHMM STRESS REGIMER0 CONTAGION ACTIVEBOLLINGER SQUEEZEHURST PERSISTENT
Estimated days to regime transition
~80 days

Based on Markov chain transition probability from current ACCUMULATION regime. Kairos arbitrage window: 31 days.

Methodology: SIGMA scores are deterministic (identical inputs = identical outputs). Data sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT geopolitical entropy, GLEIF corporate ownership network, Stooq price data. Not financial advice — for informational and research purposes only. Verify predictions: /predictions.

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