Inflation & Monetary Policy Risk
Japan's inflation and monetary environment registers SIGMA 59.8/100 (ACCUMULATION). Key drivers include central bank credibility under fiscal pressure, wage-price spiral dynamics, energy pass-through rates, and the political economy of inflation targeting.
The SIGMA Engine v5.0 derives this score from eight deterministic analytical layers: metabolic lifecycle entropy (β=0.785, biological age 748 months), structural fragility (Minsky phase: hedge), NLP narrative divergence (0.0%), network contagion (R₀=0.753, percolation intact), and predictive signals (CSD=20.0, Hawkes λ=0.1000).
Regime probability distribution as of 2026-06-10: stable 28.0% / accumulation 25.2% / critical 25.9% / collapse 20.9%. The Hurst exponent of 0.686 indicates strong trend persistence — risk trajectory statistically likely to deepen.
Based on Markov chain transition probability from current ACCUMULATION regime. Kairos arbitrage window: 31 days.
Methodology: SIGMA scores are deterministic (identical inputs = identical outputs). Data sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT geopolitical entropy, GLEIF corporate ownership network, Stooq price data. Not financial advice — for informational and research purposes only. Verify predictions: /predictions.