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Financial Risk Comparison

🇺🇸 United States vs 🇧🇬 Bulgaria

SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026

🇺🇸
United States
45.3
stable
Kairos 29.8d·US
🇧🇬
Bulgaria
46.6
stable
Kairos 30.0d·CEE
SIGMA Verdict

United States presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 45.3 vs Bulgaria at 46.6 — a 1.3-point spread. Bulgaria's primary risk driver is Political Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests United States has the more immediate risk horizon.

Risk Dimensions
🇺🇸 United States
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
55
52
Banking Stresssafer →
52
50
Currency Risk← safer
28
30
Political Risk← safer
45
55
Contagion Risksafer →
75
48
🇺🇸 United States
Biggest Risk
Contagion Risk
75/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
28/100
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
Frequently Asked
Is United States safer than Bulgaria for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, United States shows lower systemic risk at 45.3/100. However, risk profiles differ: United States has strongest exposure in Contagion Risk while Bulgaria is most stressed in Political Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between United States and Bulgaria?
The 1.3-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Bulgaria's moderate regime is driven by Political Risk pressure at 55/100.

Full United StatesBulgaria analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.

Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals

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