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Financial Risk Comparison

🇷🇸 Serbia vs 🇮🇳 India

SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026

🇷🇸
Serbia
51.7
accumulation
Kairos 29.8d·CEE
🇮🇳
India
50.2
accumulation
Kairos 29.5d·EM
SIGMA Verdict

India presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 50.2 vs Serbia at 51.7 — a 1.5-point spread. Serbia's primary risk driver is Political Risk. The Kairos temporal window suggests India has the more immediate risk horizon.

Risk Dimensions
🇷🇸 Serbia
🇮🇳 India
Sovereign/Fiscalsafer →
62
60
Banking Stresstied
55
55
Currency Risk← safer
58
62
Political Risksafer →
65
55
Contagion Risk← safer
48
60
🇷🇸 Serbia
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
65/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
48/100
🇮🇳 India
Biggest Risk
Currency Risk
62/100
Strongest Shield
Banking Stress
55/100
Frequently Asked
Is Serbia safer than India for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, India shows lower systemic risk at 50.2/100. However, risk profiles differ: Serbia has strongest exposure in Political Risk while India is most stressed in Currency Risk.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Serbia and India?
The 1.5-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Serbia's elevated regime is driven by Political Risk pressure at 65/100.

Full SerbiaIndia analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.

Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals

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