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Financial Risk Comparison
🇧🇬 Bulgaria vs 🇺🇦 Ukraine
SIGMA Engine Systemic Risk Analysis · 2026
🇧🇬
Bulgaria
56.7
accumulation
Kairos 29.4d·CEE
🇺🇦
Ukraine
92.2
collapse
Kairos 4.0d·CEE
EWS ACTIVE
SIGMA Verdict
Bulgaria presents lower systemic risk at SIGMA 56.7 vs Ukraine at 92.2 — a 35.5-point spread. Ukraine's primary risk driver is Sovereign/Fiscal. The Kairos temporal window suggests Ukraine has the more immediate risk horizon.
Risk Dimensions
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Sovereign/Fiscal← safer
52
95
Banking Stress← safer
50
78
Currency Risk← safer
30
88
Political Risk← safer
55
92
Contagion Risksafer →
48
45
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Biggest Risk
Political Risk
55/100
Strongest Shield
Currency Risk
30/100
🇺🇦 Ukraine
Biggest Risk
Sovereign/Fiscal
95/100
Strongest Shield
Contagion Risk
45/100
Frequently Asked
Is Bulgaria safer than Ukraine for institutional investors?
Based on SIGMA Engine v5.0 analysis, Bulgaria shows lower systemic risk at 56.7/100. However, risk profiles differ: Bulgaria has strongest exposure in Political Risk while Ukraine is most stressed in Sovereign/Fiscal.
What drives the SIGMA score difference between Bulgaria and Ukraine?
The 35.5-point SIGMA spread reflects divergent risk trajectories. Ukraine's elevated regime is driven by Sovereign/Fiscal pressure at 95/100.
Related Comparisons
Full Bulgaria–Ukraine analysis: entity-level SIGMA, contagion paths, Phantom scenarios.
Daily brief · Kairos window · Early warning signals
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