SIGMA ALERT — ELEVATED RISK LEVEL
Spain · Issued 2026-06-15 · SIGMA 51.3 / 100
2026-06-15 · SIGMA Alert
Spain financial risk — real estate correction, Santander/BBVA exposure, regional fiscal imbalances.
SIGMA Score
51.3
Accumulation
Phantom Score
40
narrative divergence
Kairos Urgency
LOW
30.2d remaining
Velocity
→ Building
risk trajectory
Closest Historical Analog
Current Baseline (2026)
2026-01 · SIGMA-equivalent: 51
Elevated sovereign debt globally, persistent inflation, regional banking stress, geopolitical fragmentation.
Current reading exceeds Current Baseline (2026) level by 0 points.
Historical Outcome
Ongoing. Multiple simultaneous tail risks: debt ceiling, EU fiscal rules, China property.
Risk Dimensions
Sovereign/Fiscal
58
Banking Stress
55
Currency Risk
33
Political Risk
62
Contagion Risk
62
Active SIGMA Signals
Full real-time analysis with live data feeds, causal chains, and 90-day prediction ledger