SIGMA ALERT — ELEVATED RISK LEVEL
Serbia · Issued 2026-10-13 · SIGMA 64.8 / 100
2026-10-13 · SIGMA Alert
Serbia financial intelligence — EU accession path, dinar stability, banking sector foreign ownership.
SIGMA Score
64.8
Critical
Phantom Score
33
narrative divergence
Kairos Urgency
LOW
26.5d remaining
Velocity
↑ Rising
risk trajectory
Closest Historical Analog
Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
2023-03 · SIGMA-equivalent: 65
SVB fails after $42B deposit run in 48 hours. FDIC seizure. Signature Bank follows.
Current reading is 0 points below Silicon Valley Bank Collapse.
Historical Outcome
Fed emergency BTFP facility. CS acquired by UBS. Regional bank stress persistent through Q3 2023.
Risk Dimensions
Sovereign/Fiscal
62
Banking Stress
55
Currency Risk
58
Political Risk
65
Contagion Risk
48
Full real-time analysis with live data feeds, causal chains, and 90-day prediction ledger