SIGMA ALERT — ELEVATED RISK LEVEL
Japan · Issued 2026-06-14 · SIGMA 50.5 / 100
2026-06-14 · SIGMA Alert
Japan financial risk — sovereign debt 260% GDP, BOJ yield curve control exit, yen carry trade unwind.
SIGMA Score
50.5
Accumulation
Phantom Score
38
narrative divergence
Kairos Urgency
LOW
30.1d remaining
Velocity
→ Building
risk trajectory
Closest Historical Analog
Current Baseline (2026)
2026-01 · SIGMA-equivalent: 51
Elevated sovereign debt globally, persistent inflation, regional banking stress, geopolitical fragmentation.
Current reading is 1 points below Current Baseline (2026).
Historical Outcome
Ongoing. Multiple simultaneous tail risks: debt ceiling, EU fiscal rules, China property.
Risk Dimensions
Sovereign/Fiscal
85
Banking Stress
42
Currency Risk
35
Political Risk
28
Contagion Risk
68
Full real-time analysis with live data feeds, causal chains, and 90-day prediction ledger