SIGMA ALERT — ELEVATED RISK LEVEL
Greece · Issued 2026-06-14 · SIGMA 52.0 / 100
2026-06-14 · SIGMA Alert
Greece financial risk — post-crisis recovery sustainability, banking NPL residuals, tourist economy vulnerability.
SIGMA Score
52.0
Accumulation
Phantom Score
41
narrative divergence
Kairos Urgency
LOW
30.2d remaining
Velocity
→ Building
risk trajectory
Closest Historical Analog
Fed Pivot Panic / Q4 2018 Selloff
2018-12 · SIGMA-equivalent: 52
Fed hike + QT. S&P 500 -20%. High yield credit spread +250bps. Powell "autopilot" comment.
Current reading matches Fed Pivot Panic / Q4 2018 Selloff exactly.
Historical Outcome
Fed pivoted Jan 2019. Rate cuts resumed July 2019. Equity recovery >20% in H1 2019.
Risk Dimensions
Sovereign/Fiscal
72
Banking Stress
62
Currency Risk
38
Political Risk
52
Contagion Risk
60
Full real-time analysis with live data feeds, causal chains, and 90-day prediction ledger