SIGMA ALERT — ELEVATED RISK LEVEL
France · Issued 2026-06-15 · SIGMA 51.0 / 100
2026-06-15 · SIGMA Alert
France financial risk — sovereign debt above 110% GDP, OAT spread, BNP Paribas systemic exposure.
SIGMA Score
51.0
Accumulation
Phantom Score
38
narrative divergence
Kairos Urgency
LOW
30.1d remaining
Velocity
→ Building
risk trajectory
Closest Historical Analog
Current Baseline (2026)
2026-01 · SIGMA-equivalent: 51
Elevated sovereign debt globally, persistent inflation, regional banking stress, geopolitical fragmentation.
Current reading matches Current Baseline (2026) exactly.
Historical Outcome
Ongoing. Multiple simultaneous tail risks: debt ceiling, EU fiscal rules, China property.
Risk Dimensions
Sovereign/Fiscal
68
Banking Stress
52
Currency Risk
32
Political Risk
55
Contagion Risk
65
Active SIGMA Signals
Full real-time analysis with live data feeds, causal chains, and 90-day prediction ledger