SIGMA ALERT — ELEVATED RISK LEVEL
China · Issued 2026-06-10 · SIGMA 54.8 / 100
2026-06-10 · SIGMA Alert
China financial risk — property sector Evergrande contagion, LGFV local government debt, shadow banking.
SIGMA Score
54.8
Accumulation
Phantom Score
43
narrative divergence
Kairos Urgency
LOW
30.6d remaining
Velocity
→ Building
risk trajectory
Closest Historical Analog
Yen Carry Unwind / JPY Flash Crash
2024-08 · SIGMA-equivalent: 55
BOJ surprise rate hike. JPY +8% vs USD in 3 days. Nikkei -12%. Global carry trade liquidation.
Current reading is 0 points below Yen Carry Unwind / JPY Flash Crash.
Historical Outcome
Markets recovered within 2 weeks. BOJ paused hikes. Carry trade partially rebuilt.
Risk Dimensions
Sovereign/Fiscal
58
Banking Stress
72
Currency Risk
48
Political Risk
65
Contagion Risk
78
Full real-time analysis with live data feeds, causal chains, and 90-day prediction ledger