ⓘ Educational research tool · We do NOT accept funds, manage money, or offer investment returns · Not affiliated with Noosphere Ventures · Open-source · CC-BY-4.0
HIGH RISK2026-06-10
🇨🇳

China SIGMA Risk Alert

70.1/100 · ACCUMULATION Structural Regime
SIGMA structural regime ≠ short-term price direction. Elevated regime reflects fundamental fragility over a 6–18 month horizon.
SIGMA Score
70.1/100
Regime
ACCUMULATION
Kairos Window
22.0d
Hurst H
0.750

The Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 has flagged China with a systemic risk score of 70.1/100 as of 2026-06-10, placing the entity firmly in the ACCUMULATION regime.

The SIGMA score is computed across eight deterministic analytical layers: metabolic lifecycle analysis, fragility detection (Minsky cycles), behavioral NLP divergence, network contagion modeling (R₀ = 1.520), predictive signals (Hurst H = 0.750, Hawkes λ = 0.1000), topological data analysis, machine learning pattern recognition, and technical momentum indicators.

The Hurst exponent of 0.750 indicates strong trend persistence — the current risk trajectory is statistically likely to continue. The Kairos window of 22.0 days represents the estimated time before market pricing fully absorbs the current risk signal.

Regime probability distribution: stable 25.6%, accumulation 24.8%, critical 27.1%, collapse 22.5%. The financial contagion R₀ of 1.520 remains below the critical percolation threshold.

Active risk signals: R0_CONTAGION_ACTIVE. All SIGMA scores are deterministic — identical inputs produce identical outputs — and every prediction issued by Noosphere Prime is cryptographically anchored with SHA256 before the event, with verification against real price data at T+30, T+60, and T+90 days.

Methodology

SIGMA scores are computed from public sources: Federal Reserve FRED (macro calibration), SEC EDGAR (corporate signals), GLEIF (ownership networks), FINRA (short interest), GDELT (geopolitical entropy), AIS maritime data, and Stooq price action. Not investment advice. For informational and research purposes only.

Active Risk Signals
R0 CONTAGION ACTIVE
Full Intelligence Brief

Access the complete SIGMA breakdown, Markov transition matrix, Phantom Consensus Score, and classified intelligence brief for China.

View Full China Intelligence →
Related · APAC Region