Direct Answer
What is the probability of recession in Ukraine?
Based on Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0, Ukraine scores 90.1/100 with COLLAPSE regime classification as of 2026-06-10. Recession-relevant signals: CSD=31.0, Hurst H=0.796 (trend-persistent deterioration), Minsky phase hedge. Estimated transition: ~243 days.
SIGMA Score
90.1/100
Regime
COLLAPSE
R₀
0.844
EWS
ACTIVE
Data from Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 — 8-layer deterministic model. Sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT, GLEIF, FINRA, Stooq. Updated daily. Not financial advice. Full methodology →
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