ⓘ Educational research tool · We do NOT accept funds, manage money, or offer investment returns · Not affiliated with Noosphere Ventures · Open-source · CC-BY-4.0
Direct Answer

What is the probability of recession in Portugal?

Based on Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0, Portugal scores 57.5/100 with ACCUMULATION regime classification as of 2026-06-10. Recession-relevant signals: CSD=30.0, Hurst H=0.696 (trend-persistent deterioration), Minsky phase hedge. Estimated transition: ~231 days.

SIGMA Score
57.5/100
Regime
ACCUMULATION
R₀
1.106
EWS
clear
Data from Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 — 8-layer deterministic model. Sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT, GLEIF, FINRA, Stooq. Updated daily. Not financial advice. Full methodology →
More Portugal Questions
What is Portugal's financial risk score in 2026?How high is Portugal's systemic risk right now?Is Portugal at risk of financial collapse?Is Portugal heading for a sovereign debt crisis?What is the banking crisis risk in Portugal?Is there an early warning signal for Portugal's economy?
Full Portugal Intelligence →