Direct Answer

What is the probability of recession in Portugal?

Based on Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0, Portugal scores 57.8/100 with ACCUMULATION regime classification as of 2026-10-13. Recession-relevant signals: CSD=30.0, Hurst H=0.696 (trend-persistent deterioration), Minsky phase hedge. Estimated transition: ~231 days.

SIGMA Score
57.8/100
Regime
ACCUMULATION
R₀
1.106
EWS
clear
Data from Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 — 8-layer deterministic model. Sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT, GLEIF, FINRA, Stooq. Updated daily. Not financial advice. Full methodology →
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