ⓘ Educational research tool · We do NOT accept funds, manage money, or offer investment returns · Not affiliated with Noosphere Ventures · Open-source · CC-BY-4.0
Direct Answer

What is the probability of recession in Germany?

Based on Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0, Germany scores 47.4/100 with STABLE regime classification as of 2026-06-10. Recession-relevant signals: CSD=40.0, Hurst H=0.693 (trend-persistent deterioration), Minsky phase hedge. Estimated transition: ~254 days.

SIGMA Score
47.4/100
Regime
STABLE
R₀
1.590
EWS
clear
Data from Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 — 8-layer deterministic model. Sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT, GLEIF, FINRA, Stooq. Updated daily. Not financial advice. Full methodology →
More Germany Questions
What is Germany's financial risk score in 2026?How high is Germany's systemic risk right now?Is Germany at risk of financial collapse?Is Germany heading for a sovereign debt crisis?What is the banking crisis risk in Germany?Is there an early warning signal for Germany's economy?
Full Germany Intelligence →