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Direct Answer

What is the probability of recession in China?

Based on Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0, China scores 70.1/100 with ACCUMULATION regime classification as of 2026-06-10. Recession-relevant signals: CSD=48.0, Hurst H=0.750 (trend-persistent deterioration), Minsky phase hedge. Estimated transition: ~261 days.

SIGMA Score
70.1/100
Regime
ACCUMULATION
R₀
1.520
EWS
clear
Data from Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 — 8-layer deterministic model. Sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT, GLEIF, FINRA, Stooq. Updated daily. Not financial advice. Full methodology →
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