Direct Answer

What is the probability of recession in Bulgaria?

Based on Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0, Bulgaria scores 55.4/100 with ACCUMULATION regime classification as of 2026-10-13. Recession-relevant signals: CSD=17.0, Hurst H=0.612 (trend-persistent deterioration), Minsky phase hedge. Estimated transition: ~178 days.

SIGMA Score
55.4/100
Regime
ACCUMULATION
R₀
0.905
EWS
clear
Data from Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 — 8-layer deterministic model. Sources: Federal Reserve FRED, GDELT, GLEIF, FINRA, Stooq. Updated daily. Not financial advice. Full methodology →
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