Early Warning Signals activate when Hurst exponent exceeds 0.65, CSD score spikes, and Hawkes process clustering reaches critical intensity. Historical data: EWS activation precedes regime transition by 45–120 days in 78% of cases.

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Ukraine

90.4/100

Complete Risk Ranking — 2026-10-13

#	Country	Score	Regime	EWS	Hurst H	Kairos
1	🇺🇦Ukraine	90.4	COLLAPSE	⚠ YES	0.796	5d
2	🇹🇷Turkey	81.8	CRITICAL	clear	0.668	10d
3	🇷🇴Romania	74.7	CRITICAL	clear	0.710	18d
4	🇨🇳China	70.5	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.750	22d
5	🇮🇹Italy	67.7	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.739	25d
6	🇭🇺Hungary	66.6	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.737	25d
7	🇬🇷Greece	64.1	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.729	27d
8	🇷🇸Serbia	61.9	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.734	29d
9	🇫🇷France	61.5	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.685	29d
10	🇮🇳India	61.5	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.718	29d
11	🇪🇸Spain	59.2	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.710	31d
12	🇯🇵Japan	59.0	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.686	31d
13	🇵🇹Portugal	57.8	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.696	31d
14	🇺🇸United States	56.3	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.602	31d
15	🇧🇬Bulgaria	55.4	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.612	31d
16	🇪🇺European Union	52.1	ACCUMULATION	clear	0.634	31d
17	🇩🇪Germany	47.7	STABLE	clear	0.693	31d
18	🇨🇿Czechia	46.7	STABLE	clear	0.700	31d
19	🇵🇱Poland	45.3	STABLE	clear	0.598	31d
20	🇦🇹Austria	43.7	STABLE	clear	0.695	31d
21	🇳🇱Netherlands	43.6	STABLE	clear	0.645	31d
22	🇨🇭Switzerland	28.9	STABLE	clear	0.590	31d

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Noosphere Prime SIGMA Engine v5.0 · SHA256-anchored · Not investment advice · https://noosphereprime.space